Uncertainty as to whether a new cyclone will hit Myanmar

05 June 2023
Uncertainty as to whether a new cyclone will hit Myanmar
People take photos with mobile phone on seashore in Sittwe, Rakhine State, Myanmar, 13 May 2023. Photo: EPA

As low pressure builds in the Bay of Bengal, there appears to be uncertainty whether another cyclone is about to hit Myanmar as meteorologists ponder over predictions.

Independent meteorologist Win Naing told DVB that a new cyclone may hit Myanmar on 9 June.

He told DVB that a tropical depression could form in the Bay of Bengal on 6 June, and gradually strengthen into a cyclonic storm, which would move towards the western coast of Burma achieving wind speeds of 66 mph on 7 June. Win Naing predicts it will become a severe cyclonic storm on 8 June and reach wind speeds from 95 to 118 mph, making landfall between Sittwe and the Bangladesh border on 9 June.

Meanwhile, Myanmar’s Department of Meteorology and Hydrology reports the southwest monsoon is likely to set in the Central Myanmar area during 1 to 5 June and the whole country during 6 to 10 June. A low-pressure area may form over the Andaman Sea and Bay of Bengal and its may further intensify into a depression. During this period, the monsoon will be moderate to strong. Weather will be partly cloudy to cloudy over the North Bay and Central Bay of Bengal.

According to the live meteorological chart on the weekend, the main depression appeared to moving towards Yangon and the southern panhandle of Myanmar – unlike the recent Cyclone Mocha that hit Rakhine State and other areas of northwest Myanmar.

According to Myanmar’s Department of Meteorology and Hydrology, rain or thundershowers will be above normal in Naypyitaw, Mandalay, Magway, Tanintharyi Regions and (Southern & Eastern) Shan, Chin, Kayah, Kayin, Mon States, below normal in Sagaing Region and Kachin State and about normal in Bago, Yangon, Ayeyarwady Regions and Northern Shan, Rakhine States.

Humanitarian aid donors have expressed concern to speed up aid delivery to people badly affected by Cyclone Mocha, particularly to supply material for shelters.